This message is a joint product of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) and the USAF Space Weather Flight.
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2019 Jan 19 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 19 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jan 2019 ===================================================================== IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. ===================================================================== IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (20 Jan, 21 Jan, 22 Jan). ===================================================================== IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 431 km/s at 18/2110Z. ===================================================================== IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (20 Jan, 21 Jan, 22 Jan). ===================================================================== III. Event probabilities 20 Jan-22 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green ===================================================================== IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 19 Jan 070 Predicted 20 Jan-22 Jan 070/071/071 90 Day Mean 19 Jan 070 ===================================================================== V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jan 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jan 004/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jan-22 Jan 006/005-006/005-006/005 ===================================================================== VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jan-22 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 20/20/20 Major-severe storm 10/10/10 :NWRA: File downloaded: Sat Jan 19 22:40:51 UTC 2019Updated daily at approx. 2235 UTC
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