This message is a joint product of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) and the USAF Space Weather Flight.
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2019 Nov 19 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 323 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Nov 2019 ===================================================================== IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. ===================================================================== IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (20 Nov, 21 Nov, 22 Nov). ===================================================================== IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 371 km/s at 19/0153Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 224 pfu. ===================================================================== IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (20 Nov, 22 Nov) and quiet to minor storm levels on day two (21 Nov). ===================================================================== III. Event probabilities 20 Nov-22 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green ===================================================================== IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 19 Nov 069 Predicted 20 Nov-22 Nov 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 19 Nov 068 ===================================================================== V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 18 Nov 001/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Nov 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov 012/016-015/020-014/018 ===================================================================== VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Nov-22 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 35/40/30 Minor Storm 20/25/10 Major-severe storm 05/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/15 Minor Storm 25/25/30 Major-severe storm 50/60/40 :NWRA: File downloaded: Tue Nov 19 22:40:44 UTC 2019Updated daily at approx. 2235 UTC
[ Space Weather Home Page | Scintillation Home Page ]
[ Home | About NWRA | Staff | Research Areas | Products ]
How to contact NWRA
Copyright © 1996-2017 NorthWest Research Associates, Inc. All rights reserved.