This message is a joint product of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) and the USAF Space Weather Flight.
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2018 Aug 14 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 226 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Aug 2018 ===================================================================== IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. ===================================================================== IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (15 Aug, 16 Aug, 17 Aug). ===================================================================== IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 367 km/s at 13/2102Z. ===================================================================== IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (15 Aug, 16 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (17 Aug). ===================================================================== III. Event probabilities 15 Aug-17 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green ===================================================================== IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 14 Aug 069 Predicted 15 Aug-17 Aug 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 14 Aug 071 ===================================================================== V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 13 Aug 006/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Aug 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Aug-17 Aug 009/012-013/015-007/010 ===================================================================== VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Aug-17 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 30/30/20 Minor Storm 15/15/05 Major-severe storm 05/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/15 Minor Storm 25/25/25 Major-severe storm 50/50/25 :NWRA: File downloaded: Tue Aug 14 22:40:42 UTC 2018Updated daily at approx. 2235 UTC
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