This message is a joint product of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) and the USAF Space Weather Flight.
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2019 Dec 04 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Dec 2019 ===================================================================== IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. ===================================================================== IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (05 Dec, 06 Dec, 07 Dec). ===================================================================== IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 330 km/s at 04/0649Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 04/0052Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 04/0108Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 191 pfu. ===================================================================== IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (05 Dec, 06 Dec, 07 Dec). ===================================================================== III. Event probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green ===================================================================== IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 04 Dec 070 Predicted 05 Dec-07 Dec 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 04 Dec 069 ===================================================================== V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 03 Dec 001/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Dec 004/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec 006/005-006/005-006/005 ===================================================================== VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 15/15/15 Major-severe storm 10/10/10 :NWRA: File downloaded: Wed Dec 4 22:41:06 UTC 2019Updated daily at approx. 2235 UTC
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