This message is a joint product of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) and the USAF Space Weather Flight.
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2019 Jun 19 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 170 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jun 2019 ===================================================================== IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. ===================================================================== IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (20 Jun, 21 Jun, 22 Jun). ===================================================================== IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 350 km/s at 19/2039Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 18/2255Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 19/0859Z. ===================================================================== IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (20 Jun, 21 Jun, 22 Jun). ===================================================================== III. Event probabilities 20 Jun-22 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green ===================================================================== IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 19 Jun 068 Predicted 20 Jun-22 Jun 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 19 Jun 071 ===================================================================== V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jun 003/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jun 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005 ===================================================================== VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jun-22 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/10/10 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 20/15/20 Major-severe storm 15/15/15 :NWRA: File downloaded: Wed Jun 19 22:35:56 UTC 2019Updated daily at approx. 2235 UTC
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